The Shell Scenarios paper provides an overview of the current structure of economic sectors and government policies and the capacity for change that exists now. The report assumes a plausible commitment to the first two five-year review cycles embodied within the Paris Agreement, but beyond that timeframe, it acknowledges greater uncertainties with regards to how policies and technologies may be developed and implemented globally. The scenarios progressively become driven by the ambitious goal to achieve net-zero emissions by 2070.
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